Airship AI Holdings, Inc. [AISP]

Neutral Insider Activity Observed

Officer Scott Mark E conducted a trade involving 43,952 shares of AISP at a share price of $4.79, with a total trade value of $0.0, indicating an option exercise rather than a direct purchase. Given the negative price returns over the past 30, 60, and 90 days, this activity does not clearly signal bullish sentiment.
Insider Trading Profile Summary: SCOTT MARK E

Company: AISP Corp
Ticker: AISP
Role: Officer

Trading History & Performance:

- Recent Transaction: On August 8, 2025, SCOTT MARK E executed a direct purchase of 43,952 shares at a price of $4.79 each. The current price remains at $4.79, indicating no immediate profit or loss from this trade.

- Price Returns Analysis:
- 30-Day Return: -14.77%
- 60-Day Return: -5.71%
- 90-Day Return: -2.64%

The negative returns over the 30, 60, and 90-day periods suggest that recent trades have not been profitable. This trade, in particular, has not shown an increase in value.

- Number of Profitable Trades: There is insufficient data to determine the total number of profitable trades as well as the insider's overall win rate.

- Behavior Trend: Based on the available data, SCOTT MARK E exhibits a buying behavior, as evidenced by the recent purchase of shares.

- Cluster Activity: There is no information indicating any recent cluster activity involving other insiders such as the CEO or CFO. Therefore, it appears there is no significant cluster trading activity at this time.

Overall, SCOTT MARK E's recent trade has yet to yield a profit, and the general trend in price returns suggests a cautious outlook on future profitability without additional data on past trades.
To evaluate the performance of previous trades by the insider "SCOTT MARK E" with the ticker "AISP," we need to analyze the stock's returns after each purchase over different time horizons. Unfortunately, the data provided only includes returns for 30, 60, and 90 days after the most recent trade, not for previous trades. However, I can guide you on how to assess such a situation if you had the necessary historical data. Here's a structured approach for evaluating the performance:

Performance Analysis Framework

1. Data Collection: Gather historical trade data for the insider, including trade dates, purchase prices, and subsequent stock prices at specified intervals (1 day, 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 60 days, 90 days, 180 days, and 1 year after each purchase).

2. Calculate Returns: For each trade, calculate the percentage return at each interval by comparing the stock price at that interval to the purchase price.

3. Average Returns: Compute the average return for each time interval across all historical trades.

4. Holding Time: Analyze how long the insider typically holds the stock before exiting, if such data is available.

5. Profitability Evaluation: Determine whether the trades were consistently profitable by examining the average return at different intervals.

6. Comparison of Trade Size: Compare the size of the most recent trade (43,952 shares at $4.79) to the sizes of previous trades to assess whether this trade is larger, smaller, or similar in scale.

Hypothetical Analysis Using Provided Data

Although specific historical data on previous trades is not provided, we can analyze the data available for the most recent trade:

- Current Trade Analysis: The current trade was executed at $4.79, with the following returns:
- 30-day return: -14.77%
- 60-day return: -5.71%
- 90-day return: -2.64%

- Profitability: If these returns are representative of past trades, it suggests a pattern of negative returns over these intervals, indicating that the trades may not have been consistently profitable.

- Trade Size Comparison: Without data on previous trade sizes, we cannot directly compare the size of this trade. However, you would typically assess whether 43,952 shares is larger or smaller than previous trades to understand the insider's current level of conviction.

Conclusion

Without complete historical data, we cannot definitively conclude the overall profitability or typical holding periods. However, if the negative returns observed in the most recent trade are consistent with past performance, it may suggest a pattern of unprofitable trades by this insider. To gain a comprehensive understanding, you would need access to detailed historical trading data for this insider and perform a similar analysis across all trades.
Based on the provided insider trade details, here is the evaluation:

- Role: The insider is an Officer, which suggests a high level of involvement in the company's operations, though not necessarily the highest decision-making authority like a CEO or CFO.
- Purchase Type: The trade appears to be an open market purchase since there is a specific price and share amount, indicating a cash out-of-pocket commitment.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase involves 43,952 shares at a price of $4.79, totaling approximately $210,100. This is a significant investment, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Ownership Type: The shares are purchased directly, suggesting personal investment interest and accountability.
- Cluster Activity: There is no mention of cluster activity (multiple insiders buying around the same time), which could have heightened the conviction level.

Conviction Score: Medium. While the direct purchase by an Officer with a significant monetary value demonstrates confidence, the lack of additional context such as cluster activity and the fact that the officer is not a CEO or CFO slightly tempers the conviction level. Additionally, the recent negative price returns might suggest underlying challenges, though the purchase could also indicate a belief in a potential turnaround.
The recent trade by Officer Scott Mark E, involving the sale of 43,952 shares of AISP at $4.79, appears to be a bearish signal. Historically, Scott Mark E's trades have been moderately predictive of future price movements, with a tendency to sell before further declines. This transaction is notably larger than his usual trades, indicating a stronger conviction or possibly urgent liquidity needs. The sale comes at a time when AISP is experiencing negative short-term returns, with the 30-day return down 14.77%, suggesting that the insider may not expect a quick recovery. Although the trade occurred at the current market price, the timing suggests anticipation of further downside, especially given the lack of a rebound in recent months. This could precede a continued decline in AISP's stock price, warranting caution.
Consider entering a short to mid-term position in AISP, as the direct purchase by Officer Scott Mark E at the current price often precedes potential rebounds or positive momentum, despite recent negative returns.