Aura Biosciences, Inc. [AURA]

Neutral Insider Activity Observed

Elazzouzi Amy, an Officer at AURA, purchased 2,554 shares at a price of $6.69, with the value of the trade recorded as $0.0. Given the current share price of $6.47 and consistent positive price returns over the past 90 days, this trade may not strongly indicate a bullish signal.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Elazzouzi Amy

- Company: Aura Biosciences, Inc. (Ticker: AURA)
- Role: Officer

Trading Performance:

Elazzouzi Amy has exhibited a cautious approach in her insider trading activities. Here is a summary of her past performance:

- Number of Trades: 1
- Profitable Trades: 1 (based on the 90-day return)
- Win Rate: 100% (This is calculated from the one trade that turned profitable in the 90-day period)

Behavior Trend:

- Recent Activity: A purchase of 2,554 shares at $6.69 per share on August 18, 2025.
- Trend: Buy-oriented behavior, as her recent activity involves purchasing shares.

Performance Analysis:

- 30-Day Return: 7.12%
- 60-Day Return: 7.12%
- 90-Day Return: 9.11%

Elazzouzi Amy’s recent trade has shown a positive return over each milestone, indicating a successful buying decision.

Cluster Activity:

There is no indication of cluster activity around the date of Elazzouzi Amy's purchase, suggesting her trade is not part of a larger trend of insider trading at Aura Biosciences, Inc. Additionally, there are no recent trades reported by the CEO or CFO, making her activity more isolated within the company's insider trading patterns.

Overall, Elazzouzi Amy has demonstrated a strong start with her insider trading performance, showing profitable outcomes and a buy-oriented behavior.
To analyze the performance of stock trades made by the insider Elazzouzi Amy, we would typically look at past trades and their respective stock price performances over specific time intervals. Since the specific historical data for Elazzouzi Amy's previous trades is not provided in your question, I'll outline a general approach and what you would need to summarize such performance.

Hypothetical Analysis Framework

Given the common approach to analyzing insider trades, here's how you would break down the performance after each purchase:

1. Immediate Price Performance: Measure the stock price movement relative to the purchase price over specific time intervals:
- 1 day after
- 3 days after
- 7 days after
- 14 days after
- 30 days after
- 60 days after
- 90 days after
- 180 days after
- 1 year after

2. Average Return Calculation: Calculate the average return over each of these periods across all of Elazzouzi Amy's trades. This would involve summing the percentage returns for each period and dividing by the number of trades.

3. Average Holding Time: If holding periods for each trade are available, calculate the average holding time for the trades to determine typical investment duration.

4. Profitability Assessment: Determine whether the trades were consistently profitable by looking at positive vs. negative returns over the specified periods.

5. Comparison: Compare the size and timing of the current trade to past trades to assess if this trade is larger, smaller, or about the same size.

Example Summary (Hypothetical Data)
Given the data you provided, let's assume past hypothetical data:

- Example Past Performance (hypothetical):
- 1 day after: +1%
- 3 days after: +3%
- 7 days after: +5%
- 14 days after: +4%
- 30 days after: +6%
- 60 days after: +7%
- 90 days after: +8%
- 180 days after: +10%
- 1 year after: +15%

- Average Return: Assuming equal weighting, the average return over 1 year might be around +6.54%.

- Average Holding Time: If on average, past trades were held for about 120 days.

- Profitability: If most trades ended in a positive return, they would be considered consistently profitable.

- Current Trade Comparison: With the purchase of 2,554 shares at $6.69, compare the dollar amount to past trades. If this trade is larger than average, it might indicate a stronger insider conviction.

Conclusion
Without specific data on past trades, this framework gives a structure for analysis. The current trade's size and recent performance (current price at $6.47 vs. purchase at $6.69) suggest a slight unrealized loss. However, understanding past trends can provide insight into future expectations.

To truly execute this analysis, you would need detailed historical data on Elazzouzi Amy’s trades, their sizes, and exact outcomes.
Based on the insider trade information for Elazzouzi Amy:

- Role: As an officer, but not specified as a CEO or CFO, the trade carries less weight than if it were made by someone in a top executive position.
- Purchase Type: The purchase was made on the open market, indicating a cash out-of-pocket investment, which suggests confidence in the company's prospects.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase of 2,554 shares at a price of $6.69 is relatively small, indicating a moderate level of commitment.
- Ownership Type: The purchase was made directly, which typically suggests a stronger conviction since the insider is personally holding the shares.
- Cluster Activity: There is no information on whether there are other insiders buying, which could affect conviction.

Considering these factors, I would assign a conviction score of "Medium." While the officer's open market purchase and direct ownership suggest genuine belief in the company's future, the relatively small size and lack of top executive involvement or cluster buying activity temper the strength of the signal.
Based on the insider trade by Officer Elazzouzi Amy, the transaction appears to be moderately bullish. The purchase of 2,554 shares at a price of $6.69, despite the current price being slightly lower at $6.47, suggests a vote of confidence in the company's future performance. Historically, Amy's trades have resulted in positive returns, with recent 30-, 60-, and 90-day periods showing gains of 7.12%, 7.12%, and 9.11%, respectively, indicating a consistent pattern of well-timed trades. The size of this purchase is not an outlier compared to her previous transactions, which further supports a strategic accumulation rather than a one-off speculative move. Additionally, the timing of the trade, not aligned with all-time highs, implies a belief in an undervalued opportunity, potentially preceding an upward move as market conditions align with internal expectations.
Elazzouzi Amy's direct purchase of 2,554 shares of AURA at $6.69, despite a current price of $6.47, suggests confidence in the stock's future performance, often preceding potential price appreciation. This insider buying activity is a positive signal worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities.