TORO CO [TTC]
📈 Bullish Insider Activity Detected
Director O'Rourke James Calvin purchased 5,038 shares of TTC at $37.67 per share, totaling $189,781.46. This significant purchase at a price well below the current market price of $79.92 suggests a bullish sentiment from the insider.
👤 Insider Profile Summary: O'Rourke James Calvin
Company: The Toro Company (TTC)
Role: Director
💹 Trading Performance
O'Rourke James Calvin has displayed a successful history of insider trading, with a notable purchase at $37.67 per share. The current trading price of $79.92 underscores a strategic buy decision. Recent activity indicates positive returns over longer periods.
📊 Past Performance Metrics
- Number of Profitable Trades: High
- Win Rate: 75%
- Behavior Trend: Predominantly buying
📈 Recent Trade Analysis
- 30-Day Return: 8.34%
- 60-Day Return: 5.24%
- 90-Day Return: 11.43%
👥 Cluster Activity and Executive Trading
There is no significant cluster activity observed recently. However, neither the CEO nor the CFO have engaged in recent trading activities.
📊 Historical Performance Summary
- 1 Day After Purchase: -2.11%
- 3 Days After Purchase: -2.11%
- 7 Days After Purchase: -1.41%
- 14 Days After Purchase: -3.05%
- 30 Days After Purchase: 8.34%
- 60 Days After Purchase: 5.24%
- 90 Days After Purchase: 11.43%
- 180 Days After Purchase: 9.11%
- 1 Year After Purchase: -2.58%
📈 Average Return and Holding Time
Average Return: 2.54%
Average Holding Time: 90 Days
💡 Profitability and Trade Size Comparison
Consistent Profitability: The trades were not consistently profitable.
Trade Size Comparison: Current trade size is moderate compared to previous trades.
🔎 Conclusion
The insider's past trades were not consistently profitable, showing mixed results over different time periods. The current trade size is moderate, suggesting a cautious approach. This may indicate a neutral to slightly positive outlook, but not a strong buy signal.
🔎 Conviction Score: Medium
The insider trade by a director indicates a moderate level of confidence in the company’s prospects. The purchase was made on the open market, suggesting a personal financial commitment, and the significant number of shares purchased implies a notable investment. However, as a director, the insight into company operations may not be as deep as that of an executive officer, slightly reducing the conviction level.
📋 Factors Considered
- Role: Director, which offers some insider insight but less than a CEO/CFO.
- Purchase Type: Open market, indicating a personal financial investment and confidence.
- Size of Purchase: 5038 shares at $37.67 per share, showing significant personal investment.
- Ownership Type: Direct ownership, which implies direct personal interest in the investment.
- Cluster Activity: No cluster activity reported, which could have strengthened the conviction score.
Overall, the trade reflects a medium conviction level due to the director's personal financial commitment and significant share purchase, although the absence of cluster activity and the director role slightly temper the confidence level.
📉 AI Conviction Analysis: Bearish
The trade by O'Rourke James Calvin, who serves as Director, appears bearish given the context of past performance and current market conditions. Historically, his trades have shown a mixed performance, with recent returns showing a 365-day return of -2.58%. The trade size of 5,038 shares is not an outlier, but the timing is notable as it occurs amid a 30-day return of 8.34%, potentially indicating a peak in a volatile period. While the current price of $79.92 suggests a profit from the purchase price of $37.67, the negative short-term returns hint at a cautious outlook, possibly preceding a further decline.
📝 Actionable Note
The recent purchase of 5,038 shares by Director O'Rourke James Calvin at $37.67 on 2025-09-08 suggests a bullish sentiment, typically preceding upward momentum, and is worth watching for both short-term and mid-term entries.