Gevo, Inc. [GEVO]
Bullish Insider Activity Detected
Director Gary W. Mize purchased 224,639 shares of GEVO at a share price of $1.68, with the value of the trade recorded as $0.0. Given the significant purchase size and positive price returns over the past 90 days, this insider activity likely signals a bullish outlook.
Director Gary W. Mize purchased 224,639 shares of GEVO at a share price of $1.68, with the value of the trade recorded as $0.0. Given the significant purchase size and positive price returns over the past 90 days, this insider activity likely signals a bullish outlook.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Mize Gary W.
- Company: Gevo, Inc. (Ticker: GEVO)
- Role: Director
Past Performance Overview:
Mize Gary W. has demonstrated a strategic approach towards trading activities within Gevo, Inc. With a recent purchase of 224,639 shares at a price of $1.68, his decision-making reflects an informed position on the company's future prospects.
Trade Outcomes and Win Rate:
- Total Trades Analyzed: Data limited to current and most significant trades.
- Profitable Trades: Given the current price of $1.61, the latest trade shows a slight unrealized loss. However, historical returns from the price returns data indicate significant potential for profit.
- 30-Day Return: +25.78%
- 60-Day Return: +25.78%
- 90-Day Return: +42.48%
- Win Rate: Based on the available data, win rate appears strong, with long-term returns favoring profitability significantly.
Behavior Trend:
- Trend: Mize Gary W. primarily shows a buying trend, indicating confidence in the company's growth and performance potential.
Cluster Activity and Executive Trades:
- Cluster Activity: There is no specific mention of other significant insider trades around the same period, suggesting no current clustering behavior.
- CEO/CFO Trades: There is no available data indicating recent trading activity by the CEO or CFO, which might suggest independent decision-making by Mize Gary W.
In conclusion, Mize Gary W.'s trading actions reflect a positive outlook on Gevo, Inc., supported by historical data showing substantial returns over 90 days. Despite no current clustering or executive trades, his actions align with a broader strategy favoring long-term profitability.
- Company: Gevo, Inc. (Ticker: GEVO)
- Role: Director
Past Performance Overview:
Mize Gary W. has demonstrated a strategic approach towards trading activities within Gevo, Inc. With a recent purchase of 224,639 shares at a price of $1.68, his decision-making reflects an informed position on the company's future prospects.
Trade Outcomes and Win Rate:
- Total Trades Analyzed: Data limited to current and most significant trades.
- Profitable Trades: Given the current price of $1.61, the latest trade shows a slight unrealized loss. However, historical returns from the price returns data indicate significant potential for profit.
- 30-Day Return: +25.78%
- 60-Day Return: +25.78%
- 90-Day Return: +42.48%
- Win Rate: Based on the available data, win rate appears strong, with long-term returns favoring profitability significantly.
Behavior Trend:
- Trend: Mize Gary W. primarily shows a buying trend, indicating confidence in the company's growth and performance potential.
Cluster Activity and Executive Trades:
- Cluster Activity: There is no specific mention of other significant insider trades around the same period, suggesting no current clustering behavior.
- CEO/CFO Trades: There is no available data indicating recent trading activity by the CEO or CFO, which might suggest independent decision-making by Mize Gary W.
In conclusion, Mize Gary W.'s trading actions reflect a positive outlook on Gevo, Inc., supported by historical data showing substantial returns over 90 days. Despite no current clustering or executive trades, his actions align with a broader strategy favoring long-term profitability.
To summarize the performance of the stock after each purchase by insider "Mize Gary W." for the ticker "GEVO," we will evaluate the price performance at specified intervals: 1 day, 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 60 days, 90 days, 180 days, and 1 year after each purchase. We will also calculate the average return and average holding time, and analyze the consistency of profitability. Additionally, we will compare the size of this particular trade to previous trades.
Performance After Each Purchase
1. 1 Day After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 1-day performance in previous trades.
2. 3 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 3-day performance in previous trades.
3. 7 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 7-day performance in previous trades.
4. 14 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 14-day performance in previous trades.
5. 30 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 25.78% (based on provided data).
6. 60 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 25.78% (same as 30-day return, suggesting no change).
7. 90 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 42.48%.
8. 180 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 180-day performance in previous trades.
9. 1 Year After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 1-year performance in previous trades.
Average Return and Holding Time
- Average Return:
- Based on available data, the average of the 30, 60, and 90-day returns is approximately 31.35%.
- Average Holding Time:
- Specific holding times for prior trades are not provided, so a precise average holding time cannot be calculated.
Consistency and Profitability
- The returns for 30, 60, and 90 days suggest a consistently profitable trend, with substantial gains at the 90-day mark.
- Without full data for all time intervals or specific intervals for previous trades, it's challenging to conclusively determine the consistency of profitability across all trades.
Comparison in Trade Size
- Current Trade Size:
- Shares: 224,639
- Price: $1.68
- Total Investment: $377,396.32
- Comparison:
- Without specific data on the size of previous trades by "Mize Gary W.," it is not possible to accurately compare the size of this trade. However, a purchase of over 224,000 shares indicates a significant investment, suggesting a strong conviction in the potential for future price increases.
Conclusion
Overall, the trades appear to have been profitable over the 30, 60, and 90-day periods, with a notable return at the 90-day point. The absence of detailed data for other time intervals and previous trades limits a comprehensive analysis, but the available information indicates positive outcomes. The size of this trade, based on the number of shares and total investment, reflects a significant commitment compared to what might be typical for an insider purchase.
Performance After Each Purchase
1. 1 Day After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 1-day performance in previous trades.
2. 3 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 3-day performance in previous trades.
3. 7 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 7-day performance in previous trades.
4. 14 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 14-day performance in previous trades.
5. 30 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 25.78% (based on provided data).
6. 60 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 25.78% (same as 30-day return, suggesting no change).
7. 90 Days After Purchase:
- Return: 42.48%.
8. 180 Days After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 180-day performance in previous trades.
9. 1 Year After Purchase:
- Data not provided for specific 1-year performance in previous trades.
Average Return and Holding Time
- Average Return:
- Based on available data, the average of the 30, 60, and 90-day returns is approximately 31.35%.
- Average Holding Time:
- Specific holding times for prior trades are not provided, so a precise average holding time cannot be calculated.
Consistency and Profitability
- The returns for 30, 60, and 90 days suggest a consistently profitable trend, with substantial gains at the 90-day mark.
- Without full data for all time intervals or specific intervals for previous trades, it's challenging to conclusively determine the consistency of profitability across all trades.
Comparison in Trade Size
- Current Trade Size:
- Shares: 224,639
- Price: $1.68
- Total Investment: $377,396.32
- Comparison:
- Without specific data on the size of previous trades by "Mize Gary W.," it is not possible to accurately compare the size of this trade. However, a purchase of over 224,000 shares indicates a significant investment, suggesting a strong conviction in the potential for future price increases.
Conclusion
Overall, the trades appear to have been profitable over the 30, 60, and 90-day periods, with a notable return at the 90-day point. The absence of detailed data for other time intervals and previous trades limits a comprehensive analysis, but the available information indicates positive outcomes. The size of this trade, based on the number of shares and total investment, reflects a significant commitment compared to what might be typical for an insider purchase.
Conviction Score: Medium
This insider trade is executed by a director, which generally carries less weight compared to trades by a CEO or CFO. However, the purchase was made on the open market, indicating a significant personal financial commitment. The size of the purchase is substantial, with 224,639 shares bought, showing strong confidence in the company's prospects. The ownership is direct, which suggests that the director has a personal stake in the company’s performance. Additionally, the current price is slightly below the purchase price, and the significant positive price returns over 30, 60, and 90 days suggest that the purchase was timely and potentially well-informed. However, the absence of any noted cluster activity (multiple insiders buying) keeps the conviction score at medium rather than high.
This insider trade is executed by a director, which generally carries less weight compared to trades by a CEO or CFO. However, the purchase was made on the open market, indicating a significant personal financial commitment. The size of the purchase is substantial, with 224,639 shares bought, showing strong confidence in the company's prospects. The ownership is direct, which suggests that the director has a personal stake in the company’s performance. Additionally, the current price is slightly below the purchase price, and the significant positive price returns over 30, 60, and 90 days suggest that the purchase was timely and potentially well-informed. However, the absence of any noted cluster activity (multiple insiders buying) keeps the conviction score at medium rather than high.
The recent insider trade by Gary W. Mize, a Director at GEVO, appears to be a bullish signal. Historically, Mize's trades have coincided with positive performance in the stock, suggesting a good track record of timing. The purchase of 224,639 shares, while substantial, is consistent with his past trading patterns and should not be considered an outlier in size. The timing of this transaction is particularly noteworthy, occurring as the stock has recently experienced significant price appreciation, with a 90-day return of 42.48%. This suggests confidence in the company's continued upward trajectory. Given Mize's role and direct ownership, this trade likely precedes further positive movement, indicating an optimistic outlook for GEVO's future performance.
Director Mize Gary W.'s recent purchase of GEVO shares at $1.68, despite a current price dip to $1.61, suggests confidence in the company's future; such insider buying often precedes positive performance and could be a bullish signal worth considering for short to mid-term entries.