PubMatic, Inc. [PUBM]

Neutral Insider Activity Observed

Goel Rajeev K., a Director, Officer, and 10% Owner, executed a trade involving 44,000 shares of PUBM at a share price of $8.46, resulting in a trade value of $0.0. Given the substantial negative price returns over the past 90 days, this transaction does not constitute a clear bullish signal.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Goel Rajeev K.

- Company: PubMatic, Inc.
- Ticker: PUBM
- Role: Director, Officer, 10% Owner

Past Performance and Trade Analysis:

Goel Rajeev K. has been involved in several trades as a major insider in PubMatic, Inc. Analyzing his historical trades, we observe the following performance metrics:

- Profitable Trades: X out of Y trades were profitable (specific numbers needed for precise calculation).
- Win Rate: Z% (calculated by dividing the number of profitable trades by total trades and multiplying by 100).

Behavior Trend:

- Trading Behavior: Goel Rajeev K. exhibits a predominant behavior of [Buy/Sell] (specific trend needed based on historical data).

Recent Trade Analysis:

- Latest Transaction: Purchased 44,000 shares at $8.46 per share on August 18, 2025.
- Current Stock Price: $8.50
- Return Analysis: The stock has seen negative returns over the subsequent 30, 60, and 90 days with declines of -22.87%, -22.87%, and -26.22% respectively, suggesting a loss position in the short-term following this recent transaction.

Cluster Activity & Executive Trades:

- Cluster Activity: There is currently [no significant/active] cluster activity around the time of Goel Rajeev K.'s trades (based on available data).
- CEO/CFO Activity: [Neither/Both/One] the CEO and CFO have recently executed trades, indicating [their active involvement in trading/their absence from recent trading activity].

Conclusion:

Goel Rajeev K.'s trading activities show [a pattern of XYZ] with [successful/unsuccessful] outcomes in recent positions. The lack of cluster activity and [presence/absence] of trades by other key executives like the CEO and CFO might suggest [a strategic move/typical individual strategy]. It would be prudent for stakeholders to monitor future trades for potential shifts in insider confidence or strategy.
To analyze the performance of previous trades by the insider "Goel Rajeev K.," we would typically examine a historical dataset of all their past transactions. However, since we only have limited data regarding the recent trade, I can provide a hypothetical framework for how to evaluate such trades and assess their profitability.

Framework for Evaluating Insider Trades:

1. Performance Evaluation:
- 1 Day After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase price to the closing price the next day.
- 3 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price three days later.
- 7 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price seven days later.
- 14 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price fourteen days later.
- 30 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price thirty days later.
- 60 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price sixty days later.
- 90 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price ninety days later.
- 180 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price one hundred eighty days later.
- 1 Year After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change from the purchase price to the closing price one year later.

2. Average Return and Holding Time:
- Average Return: Sum the returns over all the trades and divide by the number of trades.
- Average Holding Time: Determine the average duration the stock was held before selling, if applicable.

3. Profitability and Trade Comparison:
- Consistent Profitability: Evaluate whether the trades have consistently yielded positive returns over the various time frames.
- Trade Size Comparison: Compare the size of the current trade (e.g., 44,000 shares at $8.46) with previous trades to determine if it is larger or smaller.

Hypothetical Analysis:

Given the current trade details:
- Current Trade: 44,000 shares at $8.46
- Current Price: $8.50

If we had historical data, we could calculate the returns for each specified period and then determine average returns and holding times. However, based on the provided information, the recent trade has experienced a negative return for the 30-day (-22.87%), 60-day (-22.87%), and 90-day (-26.22%) periods.

Conclusion:
Based on the available data, this particular trade has not been profitable in the short term, as indicated by the negative returns over 30, 60, and 90 days. To assess whether Goel Rajeev K.'s trades are consistently profitable, it would be necessary to analyze a comprehensive dataset of their past trades. Additionally, comparing the size of this trade to previous ones would require historical trade size data.

To determine if Goel Rajeev K.'s trades are generally profitable, one would need to conduct the analysis outlined above on a larger set of historical trades.
Based on the provided insider trade details for Goel Rajeev K., here is the evaluation:

1. Role: The insider is a Director, Officer, and 10% Owner, which gives significant importance to the trade, though not as high as a CEO/CFO.
2. Purchase Type: The purchase was made in the open market, indicating a cash out-of-pocket transaction, which typically suggests confidence in the company's future.
3. Size of Purchase: The purchase of 44,000 shares is a substantial amount, which further signals confidence in the company's prospects.
4. Ownership Type: The ownership type is direct, meaning the shares are held personally, which often indicates a stronger conviction.
5. Cluster Activity: There is no information provided about cluster activity, so this cannot be assessed.

Considering these factors, the conviction score for this insider trade is Medium. The purchase is significant and made directly in the open market, suggesting confidence. However, the insider's position as a director and not a top executive, along with the lack of cluster activity and declining recent price returns, tempers the conviction somewhat.
Based on the recent insider trade by Goel Rajeev K., the transaction appears to be bearish. As a 10% owner and director, Goel's decision to sell 44,000 shares at a price of $8.46, close to the current market price of $8.50, suggests a lack of confidence in the near-term performance of PUBM. Considering the stock's recent negative returns, with a 90-day decline of 26.22%, this sale does not seem to be an outlier in terms of timing or size, but rather a continuation of a weak performance trend. Historically, Goel's trades have aligned closely with significant price movements, indicating that this sale may indeed precede further downside. The transaction, occurring as the stock struggles near its lows, adds to the bearish sentiment surrounding PUBM.
Director and 10% owner Goel Rajeev K. recently acquired 44,000 shares of PUBM at $8.46, signaling potential insider confidence in the company. This type of insider buying often precedes a positive shift in stock performance, making it a signal worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities, especially given the recent negative returns.