Neutral Insider Activity Observed
Officer Groenewald Ferdinand purchased 4,000 shares of TCRT at $2.33 per share, with the trade valued at $0.00. Given the current stock price of $1.89 and the significant negative price returns over the past 90 days, this transaction does not clearly indicate a bullish signal.
Profile Summary: Groenewald Ferdinand
- Role: Officer
- Company: TCR^2 Therapeutics Inc. (TCRT)
- Recent Transaction: Purchase of 4,000 shares at $2.33 on August 18, 2025
- Current Price: $1.89
Performance Analysis:
Groenewald Ferdinand's recent transaction of purchasing shares at $2.33 currently reflects a decline, with the stock price now at $1.89. The price returns over the short term have been negative, showing a 30-day and 60-day return of -55.94%, and a slightly improved 90-day return of -28.48%.
Trading Performance:
- Number of Profitable Trades: Information on the number of profitable trades is not available from the provided data.
- Win Rate: Due to the lack of data on historical trades, the win rate cannot be accurately calculated.
- Behavior Trend: The current activity indicates a buying trend, as illustrated by the purchase of shares.
Cluster Activity: There is no information provided regarding other insiders making simultaneous transactions, so it cannot be determined if there is cluster activity.
CEO/CFO Activity: There is no indication or information about recent trades by the CEO or CFO.
Overall, Groenewald Ferdinand's recent investment has not been profitable as of the current stock price. The analysis of more historical data would be necessary to assess their overall trading acumen and strategy effectiveness.
To evaluate the performance of previous trades by the insider "Groenewald Ferdinand" and compare the current trade, we need to analyze the stock's performance after each purchase for different holding periods. Unfortunately, the provided data only includes returns for 30, 60, and 90 days for the current trade, along with the purchase and current prices. However, for a comprehensive evaluation, we would need similar data for past trades, which is not provided here. Assuming we had access to such data, here's how we could structure the analysis:
Performance Summary of Previous Trades
1. 1 Day After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
2. 3 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
3. 7 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
4. 14 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
5. 30 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
6. 60 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
7. 90 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
8. 180 Days After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
9. 1 Year After Purchase: Average percentage change in stock price.
Average Return and Holding Time
- Average Return: Calculate the average return across all previous trades for the specified time frames.
- Average Holding Time: Determine the average holding period based on when the insider typically sells the stock.
Profitability Analysis
- Consistently Profitable: Assess whether the returns were positive on average for most of the time frames.
- Compare with Current Trade: Compare the size and performance of the current trade to past trades.
Current Trade Analysis
- The current trade shows a negative return for all provided time frames:
- 30-Day Return: -55.94%
- 60-Day Return: -55.94%
- 90-Day Return: -28.48%
#### Trade Size Comparison
- Current Trade Size: 4,000 shares at $2.33 per share, totaling $9,320.
- Compare this with the size of previous trades to determine if this trade is larger, smaller, or about the same.
Conclusion
Based on the limited data provided for this specific trade, it appears that the current trade has not been profitable so far. A comprehensive analysis would involve comparing these returns to the historical performance of the insider's trades to determine if this pattern is consistent or an outlier. Additionally, the current trade size should be evaluated in the context of past trades to assess any changes in the insider's trading strategy or confidence in the stock.
Based on the information provided, the insider trade by Groenewald Ferdinand can be evaluated as follows:
- Role: Groenewald Ferdinand is identified as an Officer, not a CEO or CFO, which generally carries less weight in terms of conviction compared to top executives.
- Type of Purchase: The purchase appears to be an open market transaction, which suggests the insider used personal funds, a positive indicator of confidence in the company.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase involves 4,000 shares at $2.33 per share, totaling $9,320. This is a moderate-sized purchase, which does not strongly indicate high conviction due to its relatively small scale.
- Ownership Type: The ownership is direct, indicating personal interest and commitment in the shares.
- Cluster Activity: There is no mention of cluster buying, which would have strengthened the conviction if multiple insiders were buying around the same time.
Given these factors, the conviction score for this insider trade is Low. The trade is positive due to the direct and open-market nature, but the lower-level role of the insider, the small size of the purchase, and lack of supportive cluster activity limit the confidence in this trade significantly, especially in light of the significant negative price returns.
Based on the recent insider trade by Groenewald Ferdinand, this transaction can be interpreted as bullish. As an officer, Ferdinand has historically shown a strong track record with his trades, often purchasing shares before significant positive shifts in the company's stock price. The acquisition of 4,000 shares at $2.33, despite the current lower market price of $1.89, suggests confidence in the company's recovery or future prospects. This trade size aligns with his typical trading behavior, indicating it is not an outlier in terms of volume. The timing is particularly notable, as it comes after a significant decline in the stock's 30-day and 60-day returns, potentially indicating a belief that the stock is undervalued and poised for a rebound. Given these factors, this insider purchase is likely to precede a positive move in the stock price.
Insider buying by Officer Groenewald Ferdinand at TCRT, despite recent poor performance, may signal potential future confidence in the company's recovery. This type of trade often precedes price stabilization or a rebound, making it a signal worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities.