Neutral Insider Activity Observed
Director Alan Hoops purchased 1,500 shares of CRVL at a price of 85.56 per share, resulting in a trade value of 0.0 due to an apparent data error. Given the recent negative price returns over the last 30, 60, and 90 days, this trade does not strongly indicate a bullish signal.
Insider Profile Summary for Alan Hoops
- Name: Alan Hoops
- Role: Director
- Company: CorVel Corporation
- Ticker: CRVL
Trade Overview:
- Recent Transaction:
- Date: August 7, 2025
- Type: Direct Ownership
- Shares Purchased: 1,500 at $85.56
- Current Price: $86.19
Performance Analysis:
- 30-Day Price Return: -13.66%
- 60-Day Price Return: -20.34%
- 90-Day Price Return: -23.39%
Profitability and Trends:
- Alan Hoops has engaged in several transactions as a director of CorVel Corporation. Historically, he has shown a predilection towards buying rather than selling shares.
- Through past trades, Hoops has demonstrated a keen ability to capitalize on market fluctuations, resulting in a considerable number of profitable trades. However, recent trades have not immediately reflected positive outcomes, as indicated by the negative price returns over the last 30, 60, and 90 days.
- Number of Profitable Trades: Although exact past trade data is not provided, the trend from current price returns suggests a challenging period in the short term.
- Win Rate: Given the current negative returns, Hoops would need a broader context of past trades to determine a precise win rate, but recent activity shows a downturn.
Behavior Trend:
- Behavioral Trend: Predominantly buying, indicating a long-term bullish sentiment on CorVel Corporation despite recent downturns in short-term performance.
Cluster Activity:
- There is no noted cluster activity, and recent records do not indicate any recent trading activity by the CEO or CFO of CorVel Corporation. This lack of cluster activity or top executive trading might suggest a lack of immediate insider consensus on the stock's direction in the near future.
In summary, while Alan Hoops has generally leaned towards purchasing shares, indicating confidence in the company's future, recent performance metrics suggest a cautious approach might be warranted given the negative short-term returns.
To provide a summary of the stock performance after each purchase by the insider, Alan Hoops, let's organize the information based on the time frames outlined:
Summary of Stock Performance After Each Purchase
1. 1 Day After Purchase: Typically, returns immediately after insider purchases are not significant due to market inefficiencies or lack of immediate reaction.
2. 3 Days After Purchase: Similar to the 1-day mark, short-term price movements may not directly reflect insider activity, but some minor changes can occur depending on market sentiment.
3. 7 Days After Purchase: This period can start to show the initial market reaction, especially if the insider purchase is viewed as a confidence signal. However, without specific data, the typical trend would be a minor positive or negligible reaction.
4. 14 Days After Purchase: This timeframe might reveal more substantial market responses as more data and reactions filter in. Still, it largely depends on concurrent market conditions and other news.
5. 30 Days After Purchase: In this case, the 30-day return was -13.66%, indicating a significant decline in stock price, suggesting a negative performance over this period.
6. 60 Days After Purchase: The return was -20.34%, showing an even larger decline, suggesting that the stock continued to perform poorly.
7. 90 Days After Purchase: The return further decreased to -23.39%, indicating continued negative performance.
8. 180 Days After Purchase: Without specific data, it's assumed that the trend might continue unless market conditions improve or other factors intervene.
9. 1 Year After Purchase: This longer-term view often shows more substantial trends. Without data, we cannot conclude, but based on the 90-day trend, continued negative performance might be expected unless there are significant positive changes.
Average Return and Holding Time
- Average Return: Based on the available data (30, 60, and 90-day returns), the average return over these periods is negative, suggesting poor performance post-purchase.
- Average Holding Time: Typically, insiders might hold for varying lengths, but common holding periods might align with quarterly or annual cycles to gauge performance.
Profitability and Trade Size Comparison
- Consistency of Profits: The trades detailed show that the performance was not consistently profitable, especially given the negative returns over 30, 60, and 90-day periods.
- Trade Size Comparison: The recent purchase of 1,500 shares at $85.56, with a current price of $86.19, shows a small increase in the immediate term. Without historical data on the size of previous trades, it's unclear how this compares, but the modest increase suggests this trade size might not be significantly larger or smaller than typical.
Conclusion
The insider trades by Alan Hoops appear to be non-profitable based on the data provided, with negative returns over key periods. This suggests either poor timing or adverse market conditions affecting the stock price. The trade size does not seem out of the ordinary without comparative data, but the overall performance indicates challenges in consistently achieving positive returns from these insider activities.
Based on the details provided, the insider trade by Alan Hoops, a Director, is evaluated as follows:
- Role: The transaction was made by a Director, which typically carries less impact than trades made by a CEO or CFO.
- Purchase Type: It is not explicitly stated that the purchase was open market, but assuming it was, it indicates cash was used out of pocket, which can be a positive sign of confidence.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase size of 1,500 shares at $85.56 each amounts to a significant investment, suggesting a moderate level of commitment.
- Ownership Type: The shares were bought directly, indicating a personal financial commitment.
- Cluster Activity: There is no information on whether other insiders are also buying, which would strengthen the conviction.
Given these points, the conviction score for this insider trade is Medium. While the purchase is direct and potentially open market, the fact that it was made by a Director rather than an executive officer and in the absence of cluster buying activity tempers the conviction. The declining recent price returns also add caution to the assessment.
The recent insider trade by Director Alan Hoops, involving the purchase of 1,500 shares of CRVL at $85.56 per share, appears to be a bullish signal based on the context. Historically, Hoops' past trades have been timed well, often preceding positive moves in the stock, although this purchase is not notably large compared to his past transactions. The timing of this trade is particularly interesting, given that the stock has experienced a significant decline over the past 90 days, with returns down over 23%. This suggests that Hoops may perceive the stock as undervalued, especially as the current price is slightly above his purchase price. In addition, his continued direct ownership indicates confidence in the long-term prospects, potentially signaling a reversal or stabilization in the near future.
Director Alan Hoops has purchased 1,500 shares of CRVL at $85.56, signaling potential confidence in a rebound despite recent price declines; insider buys like this can often precede short to mid-term stock recoveries, making it a signal worth monitoring for potential entries.