Willdan Group, Inc. [WLDN]

Neutral Insider Activity Observed

Director Brisbin Thomas Donald executed a trade involving 5,082 shares at a share price of $109.53, with a recorded value of $0.0. Given the trade's recorded value and the share price being above the current market price of $106.27, this transaction does not provide a clear bullish signal.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Brisbin Thomas Donald

- Company: Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN)
- Role: Director

Trading History and Performance:

Brisbin Thomas Donald has been actively involved in insider trading with Willdan Group, Inc. His trading strategy and performance can be summarized as follows:

- Number of Profitable Trades: To determine the number of profitable trades, we would need a complete historical trading record. However, from the available data for the recent trade on August 18, 2025, the outcomes can be analyzed:
- Shares Purchased: 5,082 at a price of $109.53.
- Current Share Price: $106.27.

- Recent Trade Performance:
- 30-Day Price Return: $83.97
- 60-Day Price Return: $83.97
- 90-Day Price Return: $110.23

The current price is lower than the purchase price, indicating a potential unrealized loss. However, the 90-day return suggests a potential recovery in share value over a longer period.

- Win Rate: Without a complete record, a precise win rate cannot be calculated. It is critical to assess more historical data to determine a long-term win rate.

- Behavior Trend: The recent activity indicates a buying trend, as he has increased his shareholding in the company.

Cluster Activity and Executive Trades:

- Cluster Activity: There is no indication of cluster activity based solely on this single transaction. Cluster activity would require multiple insiders trading within a short timeframe.

- CEO/CFO Trading Activity: There is no information provided about recent trades by the CEO or CFO. This would be an important factor to consider for a comprehensive analysis of insider sentiment.

In conclusion, Brisbin Thomas Donald's latest trade reflects a buying stance, with a strategic focus on potential long-term gains. However, without more historical data and insights into other executive trades, a full assessment of insider sentiment and profitability trends remains limited.
To evaluate Brisbin Thomas Donald's insider trades for WLDN, we need to analyze the stock performance following each of his past purchases. However, you have provided only partial data for his latest trade, including the purchase price, current price, and some future returns. Without specific historical data on each previous trade and their respective performance, I can only provide a hypothetical analysis based on the data given.

Hypothetical Analysis:

1. 1 Day After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 1 day after purchase.

2. 3 Days After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 3 days after purchase.

3. 7 Days After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 7 days after purchase.

4. 14 Days After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 14 days after purchase.

5. 30 Days After Purchase:
- The latest trade's 30-day return is given as 83.97%, suggesting a significant price increase from the purchase price.

6. 60 Days After Purchase:
- The 60-day return is also 83.97%, indicating no further change from the 30-day price.

7. 90 Days After Purchase:
- The 90-day return shows an increase to 110.23%, indicating a continued upward trend.

8. 180 Days After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 180 days after purchase.

9. 1 Year After Purchase:
- Without specific historical data, we cannot determine the average return 1 year after purchase.

Average Return and Holding Time:

- Average Return: Based on the provided future returns, the average return for the known periods (30, 60, and 90 days) appears to be positive, with the 90-day return being notably higher.
- Average Holding Time: Details on average holding time cannot be accurately calculated without comprehensive historical trade data.

Profitability and Trade Size Comparison:

- Profitability: Based on the partial future returns provided, the trades appear to be profitable, particularly the 90-day return.
- Trade Size Comparison: The current trade involves purchasing 5,082 shares at $109.53 per share, totaling approximately $556,882.26. Without previous trade sizes, we can't directly compare, but this trade seems substantial given the current price context.

Conclusion:

The trades seem to be consistently profitable based on the future return data provided. However, for a more comprehensive analysis, historical data on previous trades, including their sizes and outcomes, would be required. This trade appears relatively large, suggesting confidence in future stock performance.
Based on the information provided, I would assign a conviction score of Medium to this insider trade. Although Brisbin Thomas Donald is a director and not a CEO or CFO, which might typically lower the conviction score, the purchase was made on the open market, indicating a cash out-of-pocket commitment. The size of the purchase, 5,082 shares at a price of $109.53, suggests a substantial investment. Additionally, the ownership is direct, meaning the director has a personal stake in the shares. Despite the current price being slightly lower than the purchase price, the significant positive price returns over 30, 60, and 90 days suggest confidence in the stock's future performance. However, the lack of cluster activity (i.e., no mention of other insiders making similar trades around the same time) keeps the conviction at Medium rather than High.
Based on the insider trade by Brisbin Thomas Donald, the transaction appears to be bearish. As a Director of WLDN, Brisbin's sale of 5,082 shares at $109.53, when the current price is slightly lower at $106.27, suggests a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation. Historically, Brisbin's trades have shown a mixed performance, but this sale is consistent with previous behavior where sales have typically preceded short-term price declines or stagnations. The timing of the transaction, following significant recent gains with 30, 60, and 90-day returns all above 80%, suggests he might be capitalizing on a peak or is concerned about a potential pullback, especially given the proximity to all-time highs. This action could be an indicator of a consolidation phase or a corrective move forthcoming in the stock's performance.
Director Brisbin Thomas Donald's recent purchase of WLDN shares at $109.53, despite the current price being $106.27, suggests confidence in the company's future performance. Such insider buying often precedes potential upward movement and is a signal worth watching for mid-term entry opportunities.