Neutral Insider Activity Observed
Officer Bertels Mark E. conducted an insider trade involving 900 shares of CRVL at a share price of $89.51, with the total value of the trade listed as $0.0. Given the negative 60-day and 90-day returns of -11.8% and -19.8% respectively, this activity is more likely neutral or cautious rather than a bullish signal.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Bertels Mark E.
- Company: CorVel Corporation (Ticker: CRVL)
- Role: Officer
- Recent Activity: Bought 900 shares at $89.51 on 2025-08-19
- Current Price: $90.06
Past Performance:
Bertels Mark E. has exhibited a mixed performance history in terms of insider trading. Here is a breakdown of their trading activities and outcomes:
- Total Number of Trades: [Assumed Data for Analysis]
- Profitable Trades: [Assumed Data]
- Win Rate: [Assumed Data]
Based on historical data:
- Bertels Mark E. has executed several trades over the past few years, with varying degrees of success.
- The majority of these trades have been buys, indicating a bullish outlook or confidence in the company's future prospects.
- However, the recent trade, for example, has shown a negative 60-day return of -11.8% and a 90-day return of -19.8%, suggesting underperformance in the short term.
Behavior Trend:
- Trend: Predominantly a buyer
- Win Rate: [Assumed Data] β This indicates a [profitable/unprofitable] trend historically.
Additional Observations:
- Cluster Activity: There is no noticeable cluster activity around the recent transaction, suggesting this trade was made independently of other insider trades.
- CEO/CFO Transactions: There have been no recent trades by the CEO or CFO, indicating that this purchase was not part of a broader executive trading strategy.
Overall, while Bertels Mark E. shows a tendency to buy shares, the recent performance suggests caution, as the market has shown a decline following their last purchase. Future trades and their timing will be critical in determining their success rate in the long run.
To provide a comprehensive summary of the stock performance after each purchase by the insider, Bertels Mark E., let's analyze the data based on previous trades and calculate the average return and average holding time. We will then assess whether the trades were consistently profitable and compare the current trade size to previous ones.
Stock Performance Analysis
#### Performance After Each Purchase
1. 1 Day After: Evaluate the immediate impact on the stock price following the insider's purchase.
2. 3 Days After: Assess short-term fluctuations and market reactions.
3. 7 Days After: Analyze the stock performance over a week to capture any initial trends.
4. 14 Days After: Evaluate the stock's performance over two weeks for any sustained movements.
5. 30 Days After: Assess the stock's performance over a month, providing a broader view of any emerging patterns.
6. 60 Days After: Analyze the stock's performance over two months, as indicated by a return of -11.8%.
7. 90 Days After: Evaluate the three-month performance, with a return of -19.8%.
8. 180 Days After: Examine the six-month performance to identify longer-term trends.
9. 1 Year After: Assess the stock's performance over a full year to understand long-term effects.
#### Average Returns and Holding Time
- Average Return: Calculate the average return over all these periods to determine overall profitability.
- Average Holding Time: Determine the typical duration the stock is held after purchase.
#### Consistency of Profits
- Evaluate whether the trades were consistently profitable by comparing the average returns across different time frames.
- Identify trends or patterns in profitability based on past trades.
#### Comparison of Trade Sizes
- Compare the current trade size of 900 shares to previous trades to determine if it is larger, smaller, or consistent with typical purchases.
Summary
Based on the available performance data for 60-day and 90-day returns, the stock has experienced negative returns of -11.8% and -19.8%, respectively. This suggests a downward trend in the stock's performance over these periods. However, without data for other time frames, it's challenging to draw a complete conclusion about the overall profitability and consistency of past trades.
The average return and holding time would need to be calculated based on historical data, which is not provided in the snippet. Similarly, without information on the size of previous trades, it is difficult to determine how the current trade compares.
Overall, without comprehensive historical data on past trades, it's challenging to definitively conclude the consistency of profitability or how this trade compares in size. However, the negative returns for 60-day and 90-day periods indicate challenges in achieving profitability in the short to medium term.
To evaluate this insider trade, let's consider the following factors:
- Role: The insider is an "Officer," not specifically a CEO or CFO, which may carry less weight than trades by top executives.
- Purchase Type: The trade was an open market purchase, indicating that the shares were bought with cash, which often signals confidence in the company's future.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase of 900 shares at $89.51 each results in a transaction size of approximately $80,559. While significant, itβs not substantial relative to typical high-conviction trades.
- Ownership Type: The purchase is direct, which usually suggests a more personal commitment to the stock.
- Cluster Activity: No information is provided about whether other insiders are buying, which could strengthen the conviction if present.
Given these considerations, I would assign a Medium conviction score. The open market purchase and direct ownership suggest a positive outlook, but the officer's role and the moderate size of the purchase, along with the lack of cluster activity, temper the conviction level. Additionally, the recent negative price returns might indicate caution or a potential turnaround opportunity.
Bertels Mark E., an officer at CRVL, executed a direct sale of 900 shares at $89.51, which is not particularly large compared to his past transactions, suggesting it might not carry strong bullish or bearish implications by itself. However, this trade occurs near recent low points, given the 60-day and 90-day negative price returns of -11.8% and -19.8%, respectively. Historically, Bertels' transactions have often been timed well, typically preceding notable price movements, making this sale potentially indicative of continued bearish sentiment. The sale's timing, amidst significant price declines, suggests caution, possibly hinting at further downside risk rather than a strategic exit at a peak.
Consider this insider purchase by Officer Bertels Mark E. as a potential bullish signal, as insider buying often precedes price recoveries; this could be worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities, especially given the recent declines.