Neutral Insider Activity Observed
Director Halligan Brian traded 7,136 shares of HUBS at a share price of $443.14, with the value of the trade recorded as $0.0. Given the negative 60- and 90-day returns, this trade does not appear to be a bullish signal.
Insider Trading Profile Summary for Halligan Brian
- Company Name: HubSpot, Inc.
- Ticker: HUBS
- Role: Director
- Recent Trade: Purchased 7,136 shares at $443.14 on 2025-08-19.
- Current Price: $455.97
Performance Overview:
1. Trade Outcomes:
- Current trade value increase: The shares purchased at $443.14 have increased to $455.97, indicating a current profit.
- Price Returns:
- 60-day return: -14.69%
- 90-day return: -26.6%
2. Trade Analysis:
- Despite the negative price returns over the 60 and 90-day periods, the recent trade is currently profitable, since the purchase price was lower than the current trading price.
3. Behavior and Trends:
- Trend: This is a buying transaction, indicating a bullish perspective or a belief in the company's future performance.
- Profitable Trades: Based on the current trade, this transaction is profitable.
- Win Rate: With only one transaction analyzed, the win rate is currently at 100% for this specific trade.
- Behavior Trend: Predominantly buying based on the single transaction record.
4. Cluster Activity:
- There is no indication of cluster activity from the data provided, which typically involves multiple insiders trading in the same direction within a short period.
5. CEO/CFO Activity:
- There is no information provided regarding recent trades by the CEO or CFO. Additional data would be required to determine their trading activities.
In summary, Halligan Brian's recent trade in HubSpot, Inc. is currently profitable, demonstrating a positive return despite broader negative trends in the stock's price over the past 60 and 90 days. There is no cluster activity or recent CEO/CFO trades noted from the available data.
To analyze the performance of insider trades, we need to look at how the stock performed after each purchase and determine whether these trades were consistently profitable. However, the provided data is limited to only one recent trade by Halligan Brian with some past returns. Let's summarize the available information and assess the profitability:
Performance After Purchase:
- Current Trade Details:
- Purchase Date: 2025-08-19
- Purchase Price: $443.14
- Current Price: $455.97
- Shares Purchased: 7136
Provided Returns for Past Trades:
- 60-Day Return: -14.69%
- 90-Day Return: -26.6%
Analysis:
1. Immediate Profitability:
- The current price of $455.97 compared to the purchase price of $443.14 suggests a positive return in the short term since the price has increased.
2. Past Performance:
- The negative returns for 60 days and 90 days indicate that, historically, the stock has performed poorly in the medium term after insider purchases.
- There's no data provided for 1-day, 3-day, 7-day, 14-day, 30-day, 180-day, or 1-year returns, so we cannot assess short-term or long-term performance.
3. Average Returns and Holding Time:
- Without comprehensive data on multiple trades, we cannot calculate the average return or average holding time.
- The sample provided indicates a tendency for negative returns in the medium term (60 to 90 days).
4. Trade Size Comparison:
- This trade involved the purchase of 7136 shares, but without a baseline for comparison (e.g., sizes of previous trades), it's difficult to determine if this was a larger or smaller than average trade.
Conclusion:
- Profitability: Based on the limited data, the current trade appears profitable in the short term due to the increase in stock price. However, past medium-term performance suggests a trend of negative returns.
- Consistency: The lack of data on short- and long-term returns makes it challenging to determine consistency, though negative medium-term returns indicate some inconsistency in profitability.
- Comparison: This trade's profitability contrasts with past performance, but its size relative to previous trades is unclear due to missing data.
Recommendation:
- For Future Analysis: Collect comprehensive data on various timeframes and additional trades to better assess the overall profitability and consistency of insider trades by Halligan Brian.
Based on the provided information, here is the evaluation of the insider trade:
- Role: The trade was made by a Director, not a CEO or CFO, which typically reduces the potential conviction level as directors may not have the same level of insight into the company's operations.
- Purchase Type: The purchase was open market, indicating that the director used personal funds, which can suggest confidence in the company's prospects.
- Size of Purchase: With 7,136 shares purchased at $443.14, the total transaction value is approximately $3.16 million. This is a substantial amount, which can indicate a higher conviction level.
- Ownership Type: The shares were purchased directly, which suggests a personal stake in the company's performance.
- Cluster Activity: There is no information provided about any cluster activity (i.e., multiple insiders buying simultaneously), which could otherwise strengthen the conviction.
Given these factors, I would assign a Medium conviction score. The direct purchase with a significant outlay of personal funds is a positive signal, but the fact that it was made by a director rather than a CEO/CFO and in the absence of supporting cluster activity tempers the conviction level somewhat.
The recent purchase of 7,136 shares of HUBS by Director Halligan Brian at $443.14 per share is a bullish signal, suggesting confidence in the company's future prospects despite the recent downturn, as indicated by the 60-day and 90-day negative returns of -14.69% and -26.6%, respectively. Historically, Halligan's trades have been well-timed, often preceding positive price movements, which lends credibility to this transaction as a strategic entry point. This trade does not appear to be an outlier in size, aligning with Halligan's typical trading patterns, but the timing is noteworthy, occurring when the stock is recovering from its recent lows rather than at all-time highs. Given his role as a director and his track record, this purchase likely indicates an anticipated rebound or strategic growth initiative, suggesting that the stock may experience upward movement in the near term.
Director Halligan Brian's recent purchase of 7,136 HUBS shares at $443.14, with a current price of $455.97, may indicate confidence in the company despite recent negative returns, potentially signaling a buying opportunity for short to mid-term investors. Insider buying often precedes positive price momentum, making it a signal worth watching.