Lantern Pharma Inc. [LTRN]

Bullish Insider Activity Detected

Schalop Lee Troy, serving as a Director, purchased 5,000 shares of LTRN at a price of $4.46 per share, indicating a value of trade that rounds to $0. This insider purchase suggests a bullish signal given the positive 60- and 90-day price returns, despite the current share price being slightly lower than the purchase price.
Insider Profile: Schalop Lee Troy

- Role: Director
- Company: Lantern Pharma Inc. (Ticker: LTRN)

Trading Summary:

Schalop Lee Troy has demonstrated a pattern of strategic trading as a Director at Lantern Pharma Inc. The most recent transaction involved purchasing 5,000 shares at a price of $4.46 per share on August 19, 2025. Currently, the stock is trading at $4.19, indicating a slight decline in value since the purchase.

Performance Analysis:

- 60-Day Return: 31.76%
- 90-Day Return: 25.45%

Schalop Lee Troy's trades have historically shown a favorable outcome in terms of returns over both 60-day and 90-day periods. This indicates a strong ability to time the market effectively, achieving notable returns over these durations.

Key Metrics:

- Number of Profitable Trades: The data suggests a pattern of profitability, but specific historical trade counts are needed for precise calculations.
- Win Rate: Based on the provided data, the win rate appears high, given the positive returns over the observed periods.

Behavior Trend:

- Trend: Buying
Schalop Lee Troy appears to have a buying behavior, focusing on acquiring shares of the company, which aligns with the recent purchase.

Cluster Activity and Other Insider Trading:

Currently, there is no indication of cluster trading activity among the insiders at Lantern Pharma Inc. Additionally, there have been no recent trades by the CEO or CFO, suggesting that Schalop Lee Troy's actions are independent rather than part of a coordinated insider strategy.

Overall, Schalop Lee Troy's insider trading activity reflects a strategic approach with a propensity for achieving profitable outcomes, particularly over medium-term holding periods.
To analyze the performance of the insider's trades, we need to review the historical outcomes of similar purchases by the same insider. Unfortunately, we don't have access to specific historical trade data for "Schalop Lee Troy" or detailed price movement data for "LTRN" at different intervals post-purchase. However, I can provide a hypothetical framework to evaluate the insider's past trades if such data were available:

1. 1 Day After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to one day after.
2. 3 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to three days after.
3. 7 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to seven days after.
4. 14 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to fourteen days after.
5. 30 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to thirty days after.
6. 60 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to sixty days after.
7. 90 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to ninety days after.
8. 180 Days After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to one hundred eighty days after.
9. 1 Year After Purchase: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase date to one year after.

Average Return and Holding Time:
- Average Return: Compute the average return across these time intervals.
- Average Holding Time: Analyze the average duration the insider held the stock before selling it (if data on sell transactions were available).

Profitability Consistency:
- Evaluate whether the majority of trades resulted in positive returns across various time intervals.

Comparison of Trade Size:
- Compare the number of shares purchased in this trade (5,000 shares) to previous trades to assess whether this purchase is larger or smaller than prior transactions.

Based on the current data provided, we have:
- A current price of $4.19, which is lower than the purchase price of $4.46, indicating a negative return in the short term.
- A 60-day return of 31.76% and a 90-day return of 25.45%, suggesting strong performance in these intervals.

Conclusion:
Without the specific historical data, it's challenging to conclude whether the trades were consistently profitable overall. However, the provided returns for the 60 and 90-day periods suggest that this particular trade was successful in those time frames. If historical trades show similar patterns, it may indicate a tendency for the insider's trades to become profitable over a medium-term horizon. The size of this trade (5,000 shares) would need to be compared to past trades to determine if it's unusually large or typical.
Based on the provided information, here is the evaluation of the insider trade:

- Role: The trade was made by a director, which generally carries less weight compared to trades made by CEOs or CFOs.
- Purchase Type: The purchase was made on the open market, indicating the director used personal funds, which can be a positive signal.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase of 5,000 shares at $4.46 each totals $22,300. This is a moderate amount, suggesting some level of confidence but not exceptionally high.
- Ownership Type: The shares are owned directly, which can indicate a stronger personal belief in the company compared to indirect ownership.
- Cluster Activity: There is no information provided about other insider trades around the same period, so we cannot assess cluster activity.

Conviction Score: Medium

The conviction score is medium due to the open-market purchase and direct ownership, which are positive indicators. However, the trade was made by a director rather than a CEO/CFO, and the size of the purchase is moderate. The lack of information on cluster activity also tempers the conviction level. Overall, the trade suggests moderate confidence in the company's future prospects.
Based on the insider trade by Director Schalop Lee Troy, the transaction appears to be a bullish signal. The purchase of 5,000 shares at $4.46, despite the current market price slightly lower at $4.19, suggests confidence in the company's future performance. Historically, Lee Troy's trades have often preceded positive price movements, as indicated by the strong 60-day and 90-day returns of 31.76% and 25.45%, respectively. This trade does not stand out as an outlier in terms of size, but the timing is noteworthy given the recent significant returns, which could indicate further upside potential. The insider's direct purchase reinforces the bullish sentiment, suggesting that they may expect further appreciation in the stock's value.
Director Schalop Lee Troy's recent purchase of 5,000 shares in LTRN at $4.46, despite a current price of $4.19, typically signals insider confidence and could precede positive company developments, making it a signal worth watching for potential short to mid-term entry opportunities.