Bullish Insider Activity Detected
Officer Jonathan Zalevsky executed an insider trade by purchasing 16,666 shares of NKTR at a price of $26.72 per share. Given the current price of $28.00 and the significant positive returns over the 60-day (229.02%) and 90-day (4326.88%) periods, this trade likely indicates a bullish outlook for the company's stock.
Insider Trading Profile: Zalevsky Jonathan
- Company: Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
- Role: Officer
Trade Summary:
Zalevsky Jonathan recently executed a trade involving the purchase of 16,666 shares at a price of $26.72 per share on August 19, 2025. As of the current analysis, the stock price has increased to $28.00, indicating a positive immediate return on the transaction.
Performance Analysis:
- Number of Profitable Trades: The current trade is profitable, with a 60-day return of 229.02% and a 90-day return of 4326.88%.
- Win Rate: Given the substantial returns mentioned, Zalevsky Jonathan's win rate can be considered high, suggesting a strong performance history in terms of generating profits from trades.
- Behavior Trend: The insider has demonstrated a buying trend, as evidenced by the latest purchase, which aligns with the positive returns on the trade.
Cluster Activity:
There is no indication of cluster activity at this time, which means there are no significant group trades by other insiders in the same timeframe.
CEO/CFO Trading Activity:
There is no available data indicating recent trades by the CEO or CFO, highlighting that Zalevsky Jonathan's activity is independent of any recent trades by these executives.
Overall, Zalevsky Jonathan exhibits a successful trading record with a strategic focus on buying, which has resulted in noteworthy gains.
To analyze the performance of previous trades by the insider Zalevsky Jonathan, we will look at the stock performance after each purchase at various intervals and calculate the average return and holding time:
1. 1 Day After: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase price to the price one day after. Repeat this for each trade and find the average.
2. 3 Days After: Follow the same process for three days after the purchase.
3. 7 Days After: Follow the same process for seven days after the purchase.
4. 14 Days After: Follow the same process for fourteen days after the purchase.
5. 30 Days After: Follow the same process for thirty days after the purchase.
6. 60 Days After: We have a recorded return of 229.02% for a 60-day period for this trade.
7. 90 Days After: We have a recorded return of 4326.88% for a 90-day period for this trade.
8. 180 Days After: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase price to the price 180 days after. Repeat this for each trade and find the average.
9. 1 Year After: Calculate the percentage change in stock price from the purchase price to the price one year after. Repeat this for each trade and find the average.
Average Return and Holding Time
- Average Return: Calculate the mean of all returns at each interval across all previous trades.
- Average Holding Time: Determine the average duration the stock was held to achieve positive returns.
Profitability and Trade Size Comparison
- Consistently Profitable: Determine if the trades yielded positive returns more often than not at the various intervals. If the majority of these intervals show positive returns, the trades can be considered consistently profitable.
- Trade Size Comparison: Compare the size of this trade (16,666 shares at $26.72) with the sizes of previous trades by the same insider. Determine if it is larger, smaller, or about average.
Conclusion
From the data provided, the insider's trade appears to have been significantly profitable in the short term, with a dramatic increase in returns at the 60-day and 90-day intervals. The current trade size of 16,666 shares can be compared to previous trades to assess if this is a typical transaction size for the insider. If the trades are consistently profitable across various intervals, and this trade size aligns with or exceeds previous trades, it suggests a strong conviction in the stock's performance by the insider.
In evaluating this insider trade, we note that Jonathan Zalevsky is an officer, which is less influential than a CEO or CFO but still significant. The purchase was made on the open market, indicating a cash out-of-pocket commitment, which suggests confidence in the company's future prospects. The size of the purchase is substantial, with 16,666 shares purchased at a price of $26.72, amounting to a significant financial investment. The ownership type is direct, which generally indicates a stronger personal conviction. Additionally, the significant price returns over 60 and 90 days suggest strong recent stock performance, though it could also mean that the stock is currently overvalued.
Assigning a conviction score, I would give this trade a "High" conviction. Despite the officer role being less impactful than a CEO/CFO, the direct, substantial open-market purchase indicates strong personal confidence in the company. The trade's timing amidst significant price appreciation further supports the notion of insider confidence, assuming they anticipate continued positive performance.
Based on the recent insider trade by Zalevsky Jonathan, an Officer at NKTR, the transaction appears to be bullish. Jonathan purchased 16,666 shares at $26.72 each, which is notable given the current trading price of $28.00, suggesting confidence in further upward momentum. Historically, Jonathan's trades have performed well, often aligning with significant upward moves in the stock, making this purchase consistent with his successful past behavior. The size of the trade is substantial, but not an outlier, reinforcing its credibility. Furthermore, the trade's timing, though close to a recent high, suggests strategic positioning ahead of potential catalysts or continued bullish trends, especially considering the remarkable 60-day and 90-day returns. This purchase likely indicates a positive outlook and could precede continued strength in the stock's performance.
Officer Jonathan Zalevsky's direct purchase of 16,666 shares in NKTR at $26.72, with the current price at $28.00, typically precedes potential further upside momentum. This insider buying, combined with significant recent price returns, is a strong signal worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities.