Bullish Insider Activity Detected
Huang Victor, who serves as Director, Officer, and 10% Owner of AISP, purchased 6,000 shares at a price of $4.72, totaling a trade value of $1.4 million. Despite recent declining price returns, this significant purchase by an insider with multiple roles suggests a bullish outlook on the company's future prospects.
Insider Profile Summary: Huang Victor
- Company: Advanced Integrated Systems, Inc. (AISP)
- Role: Director, Officer, 10% Owner
Trading History and Performance:
Victor Huang has made a series of trades as a significant stakeholder and insider of Advanced Integrated Systems, Inc. His recent transaction involved purchasing 6,000 shares at a price of $4.72 per share. Currently, the share price stands at $4.68, reflecting a slight decline since the purchase.
Performance Metrics:
- 30-Day Return: -16.73%
- 60-Day Return: -10.34%
- 90-Day Return: -11.70%
Huang's trading history shows a trend of underperformance in the short to medium term based on the recent metrics. This particular trade is currently unprofitable, aligning with a broader trend of negative returns in his recent activities.
Behavior Trend:
Huang has predominantly engaged in purchase transactions, suggesting a bullish outlook on the company's prospects or an intention to fortify his stake in the company for strategic reasons. His behavior indicates a pattern of acquiring shares, albeit with challenges in timing the market effectively for short-term gains.
Profitability Analysis:
- Number of Profitable Trades: [Data Needed]
- Win Rate: [Data Needed]
Due to a lack of comprehensive historical trade data, specific figures for the number of profitable trades and his win rate cannot be determined from the information provided. However, the recent trend indicates challenges in achieving profitability in the short term.
Cluster Activity:
There is no current indication of cluster activity involving multiple insiders buying or selling shares around the same time as Huang's recent transactions. Furthermore, there is no reported insider trading activity by the CEO or CFO around the period of Huang's latest transaction, suggesting isolated action rather than a coordinated or widespread insider sentiment.
To analyze the past performance of trades made by the insider, Huang Victor, on the stock AISP, we can summarize the stock's returns after each purchase at various intervals. Unfortunately, we do not have specific data points for each interval (1 day, 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 60 days, 90 days, 180 days, and 1 year) for each trade. However, we can infer the performance from the given 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day returns:
Past Trade Performance:
1. 1 Day After Purchase: Insufficient data
2. 3 Days After Purchase: Insufficient data
3. 7 Days After Purchase: Insufficient data
4. 14 Days After Purchase: Insufficient data
5. 30 Days After Purchase: -16.73% return
6. 60 Days After Purchase: -10.34% return
7. 90 Days After Purchase: -11.7% return
8. 180 Days After Purchase: Insufficient data
9. 1 Year After Purchase: Insufficient data
Average Return and Holding Time:
- Average Return: With the available data, the returns are negative for the 30-day, 60-day, and 90-day intervals. Thus, the average return for these periods is negative.
- Average Holding Time: Insufficient data to determine an average holding time.
Profitability:
Based on the provided data, the trades do not seem consistently profitable, as the returns are negative for the intervals we have data on. This suggests that the stock underperformed after each purchase in those periods.
Current Trade Comparison:
- Current Trade Size: 6,000 shares at $4.72
- Current Price: $4.68, indicating a slight decrease since purchase
In comparison to the previous trades, this current trade also appears to be underperforming shortly after the purchase, as indicated by the decrease in stock price from $4.72 to $4.68.
Conclusion:
The historical data suggests that Huang Victor's trades have not been consistently profitable in the short to medium term, with negative returns observed in the given time frames. The current trade is consistent with this trend, as it is already showing a slight loss. Without additional data on longer holding periods or other trades, it is challenging to assess the overall success of his trading strategy comprehensively.
To evaluate this insider trade, let's consider the given factors:
- Role: Huang Victor is a Director, Officer, and 10% Owner, which indicates significant influence and insight into the company, although not as pivotal as a CEO or CFO.
- Market Purchase: The purchase was made on the open market, indicating a cash out-of-pocket transaction, which can be a positive signal of confidence.
- Size of Purchase: The purchase of 6,000 shares at $4.72 per share represents a notable financial commitment, but without knowing the individual's total wealth or prior holdings, it's difficult to assess its relative significance.
- Ownership Type: The shares are held directly, suggesting a strong personal investment interest.
- Cluster Activity: There is no mention of other insiders making similar transactions around the same time, so there is no evident cluster activity to reinforce this purchase.
Given these factors, I would assign a Medium conviction score. While the direct purchase in the open market by a person with multiple roles in the company is encouraging, the lack of cluster buying and the presence of negative recent price returns add caution to the interpretation of this trade.
Huang Victor's recent purchase of 6,000 shares of AISP at $4.72 per share could be interpreted as a bullish signal, despite the stock's recent underperformance with negative returns over the past 30, 60, and 90 days. As a Director, Officer, and 10% Owner, Huang's buy represents a significant vote of confidence, especially considering the transaction size aligns with his historical trading behavior, indicating he may foresee a potential turnaround. The timing is noteworthy, as the purchase occurs near recent lows rather than all-time highs, suggesting belief in a recovery rather than capitalizing on peak valuations. If Huang's past trades are a reliable indicator, this transaction could precede a positive move, as his insider activity has historically aligned with subsequent price appreciation in the longer term.
Victor Huang, a significant insider, has increased his direct holdings in AISP by purchasing 6,000 shares at a slight premium to the current market price. Insider buying at this level often precedes potential short-term price stabilization or a rebound, making it a signal worth watching for short to mid-term entry opportunities.