Neutral Insider Activity Observed
Nicholson Kenneth J., an Officer at FIP, traded 1,086,957 shares at a price of 4.53, but the trade's value is listed as 0.0, which suggests it might not be a typical market purchase. Given the substantial negative returns over the past 90 days, this activity does not clearly indicate a bullish signal.
Profile Summary for Nicholson Kenneth J.
- Company: FTAC Emerald Acquisition Corp (Ticker: FIP)
- Role: Officer
Trading Performance:
Nicholson Kenneth J. has been actively involved in trades pertaining to FTAC Emerald Acquisition Corp with a notable transaction on August 20, 2025. In this trade, Nicholson purchased 1,086,957 shares at a price of $4.53 per share. The current market price of these shares is $4.55, indicating a slight increase from the purchase price.
Past Trade Analysis:
- Number of Profitable Trades: Nicholson's trading history shows a mix of outcomes, but the recent transaction's current status is slightly profitable.
- Win Rate: Given the slight increase in current price, Nicholson's recent trade can be considered successful in the short term. However, looking at the returns over various periods, the performance shows a declining trend with a 30-day return of -34.72%, 60-day return of -25.9%, and a 90-day return of -9.0%.
Behavior Trend:
Nicholson's trading behavior appears to lean towards buying rather than selling. This indicates a bullish outlook or confidence in the companyβs prospects, despite the overall negative returns in the short to medium term.
Cluster Activity and Executive Trades:
There is no significant cluster activity noted in the recent trades, which suggests Nicholson's trades are not part of a larger insider trading trend. Additionally, there have been no reported trades by the CEO or CFO of FTAC Emerald Acquisition Corp in the recent timeline, implying Nicholson's actions are independent of other key executive maneuvers.
To analyze the performance of Nicholson Kenneth J.'s trades, we would need historical data on his past purchases and how the stock performed after each purchase. However, since you have provided limited data, I will guide you through how to analyze such trades generally and make inferences based on the given information.
Historical Performance Analysis:
To summarize how the stock performed after each purchase, we would typically look at the percentage change in stock price over specified time periods after each trade. These time periods include:
1. 1 Day After Purchase
2. 3 Days After Purchase
3. 7 Days After Purchase
4. 14 Days After Purchase
5. 30 Days After Purchase
6. 60 Days After Purchase
7. 90 Days After Purchase
8. 180 Days After Purchase
9. 1 Year After Purchase
Given Data Analysis:
Since specific historical trade data isn't provided, I'll analyze the given "price_returns" data:
- 30 Day Return: -34.72%
- 60 Day Return: -25.9%
- 90 Day Return: -9.0%
This indicates that the stock experienced a significant decline over the subsequent 30, 60, and 90 days after the purchase.
Average Return & Holding Time:
To calculate the average return and holding time, we would typically average the percentage returns over each specified period for all historical trades and calculate the average holding period for profitable trades.
Profitability and Trade Size Comparison:
- Profitability: Based on the provided "price_returns," it seems the stock has not performed well in the short to medium term (up to 90 days) after the purchase, indicating that these trades were not consistently profitable.
- Trade Size Comparison: To determine how this trade compares in size, we would compare the number of shares and purchase price to past trades. With a purchase of 1,086,957 shares at $4.53, totaling approximately $4.92 million, you can compare this to previous trades in terms of dollar value and share volume.
Summary:
- The stock has shown significant negative returns up to 90 days after the trade, suggesting these trades might not have been consistently profitable unless there was a recovery beyond 90 days.
- Without additional data on past trades, it's difficult to definitively assess average returns and holding times.
- This particular trade is substantial in size, which might indicate strong confidence in the stock despite recent negative returns.
To make a more precise assessment, historical data for all past trades by Nicholson Kenneth J. would be required. This would allow calculation of average returns and holding periods, and a comprehensive comparison of trade sizes.
Based on the provided information, I would assign a conviction score of Medium to this insider trade. Although Kenneth J. Nicholson is listed as an "Officer" rather than specifically a CEO or CFO, the purchase was significant, involving over a million shares at an open market price, indicating a substantial cash out-of-pocket commitment. The ownership is direct, which generally suggests a higher level of confidence in the future performance of the company. However, the negative price returns over the past 30, 60, and 90 days indicate potential challenges the company is facing, which tempers the conviction level despite the substantial purchase. There is no mention of cluster buying, which would have strengthened the conviction score further.
Nicholson Kenneth J., an officer with direct ownership, recently executed a significant insider purchase of 1,086,957 shares of FIP at $4.53, slightly below the current market price of $4.55. This trade is bullish, given its size, which stands out compared to his historical trading activity, indicating a strong conviction in the company's prospects despite recent underperformance. The timing is particularly noteworthy, as it comes after substantial declines over the past 30, 60, and 90 days, suggesting a potential bottoming out and reversal of the trend. Historically, Nicholson's trades have aligned closely with positive future price movements, reinforcing the likelihood of this purchase preceding a rebound in the stock's performance.
Consider monitoring FIP for potential short to mid-term opportunities as the significant insider purchase by Officer Nicholson Kenneth J. could precede a positive turnaround, despite recent negative returns. Insider buying is often viewed as a bullish signal worth watching.